The Changing Face of America

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Hispanic Population to Triple in 30 Years...

The Changing Face of America
February 11, 2008 - "If current trends continue," says the Pew Research Center, "the population of the United States will rise to 438 million in 2050...and 82% of the increase will be due to immigrants arriving from 2005 to 2050 and their U.S.-born descendants...."

The full report, "U.S. Population Projections: 2005-2050," released today, is HERE. Click on the graph to make it slightly clearer. (Click link below)

Other points they make:

"--The Latino population, already the nation’s largest minority group, will triple in size and will account for most of the nation’s population growth from 2005 through 2050. Hispanics will make up 29% of the U.S. population in 2050, compared with 14% in 2005.

"--The non-Hispanic white population will increase more slowly than other racial and ethnic groups; whites will become a minority (47%) by 2050.

"--The nation’s elderly population will more than double in size from 2005 through 2050, as the baby-boom generation enters the traditional retirement years. The number of working-age Americans and children will grow more slowly than the elderly population, and will shrink as a share of the total population."

The opening phrase is key, of course -- "If current trends continue" -- but if they do, they suggest a more diverse and older America.

Science and Society

See also:

'Whites to be in minority in US by 2050'
12 Feb 2008, Non-Hispanic whites will become a minority in the United States by 2050, with immigrants and their children driving 82 per cent of US population growth in coming years.

The US population will grow to 438 million in 2050 from 296 million in 2005 if current population trends continue, the Pew Research Center study found. Non-Hispanic whites would account for 47 per cent of the total in 2050, it concluded. By that time, one in every five Americans will be a foreign-born immigrant, compared to one in eight in 2005. "Of the 117 million people added to the population in this period due to the effect of new immigration, 67 million will be the immigrants themselves and 50 million will be their US-born children or grandchildren," the study said.

While the white population, with its lower fertility rate, ages, the Latino population, the nation's largest minority, will triple in size. Latinos will be responsible for 60 per cent of the population growth until 2050. They will account for 29 per cent of the population, or 128 million in 2050, up from 14 per cent now, the study said. "The number of whites will increase, but only by 4 per cent," said D'Vera Cohn, one of the report's authors. The Asian population will almost double in percentage terms, from 5 to 9 per cent, while blacks will remain around 13 per cent of the total, the report said.

At the same time, the elderly population will more than double as the baby boom generation retires. The number of children and working-age people will grow more slowly. Almost half of the new immigrants arriving the country will be from Latin American countries, said the other author of the study, Jeffrey S. Passel from the Pew Hispanic Center.

Source

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Birth control and global population...

Global White Population to Plummet to Single Digit—Black Population to Double
The big population story of the 21st Century is shaping up to be the status reversal of whites and blacks and the Indian baby boom

As a percentage of world inhabitants, the white population will plummet to a single digit (9.76%) by 2060 from a high-water mark of 27.98% in 1950. Using 2010 as the base reference, the big gainer in the population derby will be blacks or sub-Sahara Africans. This group will expand almost 133% to 2.7 billion by 2060. By the middle of this century blacks will represent 25.38% of world population, which is up dramatically from the 8.97% they recorded in 1950.

The other groups measured in the study were the Central Asians (Indians), East Asians (Chinese and Japanese), the Southeast Asians, Arabic (North Africa and the Middle East), and Amerindian-Mestizo (Mexican and Central America). All these groups will experience a population growth. The Chinese/Japanese and Indians will trade rankings and the relative global presence of the other groups will remain more or less constant. The big population story of the 21st Century is shaping up to be the status reversal of whites and blacks and the Indian baby boom. A side bar will be the single digit minority role that whites will assume. Of the 7 population groups studied, only whites are projected to sustain an absolute decline in numbers.

In 1950 whites and blacks were respectively 27.98% and 8.97% of world population. By 2060 these figures will almost reverse as blacks surge to 25.38% and whites shrink to 9.76%. From 2010 the white population will decline while blacks will add 1.2 billion to their numbers. In this time frame the the Indian subcontinent will gain 1.2 billion people. These groups and their governments will be looking for elbow room, and the diminished presence of whites in Europe, and especially in the relatively wide open spaces North America, will provide such an opportunity. Specifically, countries like Canada, the United States, Argentina, Brazil, Australia, New Zealand, and Russia can expect to be pressured to accept collectively hundreds of millions of refugees from India, and sub-Sahara Africa.

National Policy Institute - Publications

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Maybe we should give `em free birth control...

Births fueling Hispanic growth
30 June `08 - Immigration no longer top factor

Births, not immigration, now account for most of the growth in the nation's Hispanic population, a distinct reversal of trends of the past 30 years. The Hispanic baby boom is transforming the demographics of small-town America in a dramatic way. Some rural counties where the population had been shrinking and aging are growing because of Hispanic immigration and births and now must provide services for the young.

"In all of the uproar over immigration, this is getting missed," says Kenneth Johnson, demographer at the University of New Hampshire's Carsey Institute. "All the focus is on immigration, immigration, immigration. At some point, it's not. It's natural increase." This natural increase — more births than deaths — is accelerating among Hispanics in the USA because they are younger than the U.S. population as a whole. Their median age is 27.4, compared with 37.9 overall, 40.8 for whites, 35.4 for Asians and 31.1 for blacks.

Because they are younger and likely to have more children, Hispanics are having an impact that far outlasts their initial entry into the country. From 2000 to 2007, the Hispanic population grew by 10.2 million — 58.6% from natural increase. The total U.S. population grew 20.2 million, about 60% from natural increase, in that period. About 6.8 million Hispanics were born and 812,000 died, according to Johnson's research of data from the National Center for Health Statistics.

MORE

[waltky]

Granny says, "Move some o' dem MS-13 across the street from him, see how much he likes `em den...

Mexico Honors Kennedy for Defending Immigrants
Tuesday, July 22, 2008 - Mexico will soon bestow its highest honor upon liberal Sen. Edward Kennedy (D-Mass.) for his work in “defending the rights of immigrants.”

The Mexican government announced last Friday that it intends to present Kennedy with the Order of the Aztec Eagle. Ricardo Alday, a spokesman for the Mexican Embassy in Washington, D.C., told Cybercast News Service that the award, the highest that Mexico gives to foreigners, will be presented “at a time that is convenient to the senator.”

The presentation will laud Kennedy for his work on immigration, and “for (promoting) full political participation and increased access to health and education services for the Mexican-American community." Groups on both sides of the immigration issue are – not surprisingly – split over the award.

More CNSNews.com - Mexico Honors Kennedy for Defending Immigrants

[waltky]

Granny says, "Dat's right - purt soon we gonna be extinct, den the country gonna really go to hell in a handbasket...

White Americans no longer a majority by 2042
Wed., Aug. 13, 2008 WASHINGTON - Immigration, higher birth rates among minorities to speed up diversity

White people will no longer make up a majority of Americans by 2042, according to new government projections. That's eight years sooner than previous estimates, made in 2004. The nation has been growing more diverse for decades, but the process has sped up through immigration and higher birth rates among minority residents, especially Hispanics. It is also growing older.

"The white population is older and very much centered around the aging baby boomers who are well past their high fertility years," said William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank. "The future of America is epitomized by the young people today. They are basically the melting pot we are going to see in the future." The Census Bureau Thursday released population projections through 2050, based on rates for births, deaths and immigration. They are subject to big revisions, depending on immigration policy, cultural changes and natural or manmade disasters.

The U.S. has nearly 305 million people today. The population is projected to hit 400 million in 2039 and 439 million in 2050. That's like adding all the people from France and Britain, said Steve A. Camarota, director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, a Washington group that advocates tighter immigration policies. White non-Hispanics make up about two-thirds of the population, but only 55 percent of those younger than 5.

By 2050, whites will make up 46 percent of the population and blacks will make up 15 percent, a relatively small increase from today. Hispanics, who make up about 15 percent of the population today, will account for 30 percent in 2050, according to the new projections. Asians, which make up about 5 percent of the population, are projected to increase to 9 percent by 2050. The population 85 and older is projected to more than triple by 2050, to 19 million.

White Americans no longer a majority by 2042 - Race & ethnicity - MSNBC.com

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Calif. leadin' the way...

California leads nation in immigrant births
08/19/2008 - A new and more nuanced national report about fertility shows a significantly higher share of babies are born to immigrants in California than in any other state, even as a lower-than-average share of the state's births are to poor women and women on welfare.

Nationally, the U.S. Census report shows that more American women are skipping motherhood or are waiting longer to have children, a trend already evident in California, where birthrates to women in their 40s have tripled the past two decades. "Women are delaying their childbearing until they complete their educations," said Jane Lawler Dye, a family demographer with the Bureau and author of the report, which is based on population data collected in 2006.

By drawing from a broader population sample than in the past, the new fertility study looks at the differences in birth rates between Hispanic women of succeeding generations. It also examines the wide variation in fertility among the states. While women who had given birth in the previous year in California were the most likely to be immigrants, new mothers in Mississippi were most likely to be poor. New mothers in Iowa were the most likely to be working, while those in Texas were the most likely to lack a high school diploma.

"This is the first time we've looked at a lot of these characteristics," Dye said. "We've never shown this much detail." About 41 percent of births in California in 2005 and 2006 were to immigrant mothers, according to the new report, a significant number considering that immigrants account for more than one-third of births in only one other state - Nevada, where 34 percent of births were to immigrants. In part, California's high share of immigrant births reflects the fact that immigrants make up a larger slice of California's total population than in any other state, demographers said.

More http://www.mercurynews.com/news/ci_10243765